Lucky Lockett? Seahawks TD had only a 6.3% chance of completion

SEATTLE — Pete Carroll said this week that he thinks Russell Wilson is off to the best four-game start of his career, noting his accuracy and command of the Seahawks’ offense.

Throws don’t get much more accurate than the one Wilson delivered in the corner of the end zone to Tyler Lockett, who deftly got both feet in bounds for a 13-yard touchdown. The catch gave the Seahawks a 7-6 first quarter lead over the Los Angeles Rams.

INCREDIBLE. 😱

TOUCHDOWN, @TDLockett12!! pic.twitter.com/iLhTn1tbiZ

— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) October 4, 2019

Wilson’s throw had a completion probability of 6.3%, the lowest on any passing touchdown across the NFL in the last three seasons, per NFL Next Gen Stats. Lockett had 0.90 yards of separation when he caught it.

Wilson entered Thursday night’s game with an 8-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio, a 72.9% completion rate, an 8.58 yards-per-attempt average and a 118.7 passer rating — all career-highs through four games. Russell Wilson leads the NFL with 11 TD passes into tight windows since the start of last season according to NFL Next Gen Stats.

“I don’t think he’s ever been more accurate than he’s been and more consistent and in command of everything, so think he’s off to a great start,” Carroll said this week. “I don’t care how big the numbers are. I’m not talking about how many yards or whatever. Just his play has just been really, really sharp.”

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